Last year was a year of recovery from the aftermath of September 11 the
previous year. In a relatively bloodless conflict, America and its British
ally rid Afghanistan of the al-Qaeda-supporting Taliban regime, driving Bin
Laden's terrorists deeper underground. They surfaced again in Bali and Kenya
and continued their threats to maintain attacks on America and its allies.
The Israeli-Palestine conflict also continued unabated and by the end of the
year the two sides were further apart than they had been for more than a decade
while India and Pakistan came close to war yet again over Kashmir.
At the same time America's focus shifted to what President Bush calls the axis
of evil, namely Iraq, Iran and North Korea and at the beginning of 2003, the
world looks an ever more dangerous place.
Skirmishes between warlords and guerrilla fighters have broken out again in
Afghanistan; North Korea, having withdrawn from the nuclear non-proliferation
treaty, threatens to reduce the whole of Korea to ashes if America threatens it,
and America and Britain are on the brink of war with Saddam Hussein in the name
of the United Nations.
As almost 250,000 soldiers, sailors and airmen assemble on Iraq's borders, war
in the middle east is inevitable.
While there is no doubting that American power and technology can defeat Saddam
Hussein's forces, the international community is seriously divided over
the wisdom of such an act. This split is threatening the integrity of the United
Nations and, perhaps even more seriously, the very foundations of the North
Atlantic Treaty Organisation.
In answer to the question of whether NATO should deploy to defend Turkey in the
event of an Iraqi attack if or when war is declared, Germany, France and Belgium
were adamantly opposed to such a move. This brought them into direct conflict
with America, Britain, Spain and Italy, leaving NATO Secretary General, Sir
George Robertson to face the biggest crisis of his career.
As we go to press some of these issues have been resolved while others have not,
but there can be no doubt that defence in all its aspects will remain high on
the world's agenda during the coming year.