Robin Ranger Ph.D., North American editor analyses defence trends in 1997.

Mergers, international co-operation, the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction and regional conflicts were the main developments in 1997 affecting US, European and allied government procurements from the defence and aerospace industries. The most important were US mergers that went further than expected and had major effects on European industry and international collaboration.
There are now only three major US defence and aerospace companies. The largest is Boeing whose 1997 total revenues are predicted to be $48 billion, of which information, space and defence revenues are estimated at $16.6 billion. Boeing is the world's largest manufacturer of airliners, only the European Airbus consortia is comparable.
Second largest is Lockheed Martin, expanded by its 1997 acquisition of Northrop Grumman that awaits US Department of Defense and anti-trust regulators' approval. In 1996 its total revenue was $28 billion, including government and defence revenues estimated at $23 billion. 1997 revenues are predicted to be about the same.
Northrop Grumman's 1996 revenues were $8.1 billion and 1997 revenues are predicted at $8.4 billion, mostly from defence business. An enlarged Lockheed Martin would have predicted 1997 revenues of $36.4 billion and defence revenues of $31 billion.
The third largest defence company is Raytheon, formed by acquisition of E-Systems, Texas lnstruments and Hughes Aircraft completed in December 1997, that had 1997 sales predicted at over $20 billion, including defence sales thought to be $14.5 billion.
These companies report defence revenues in ways that make it difficult to compare them directly. However overall figures show that an enlarged Lockheed Martin would be the world's largest defence contractor with predicted defence revenues of about $31 billion, while Boeing and Raytheon would be roughly equal with defence revenues in the region of $15 billion.
In Europe, mergers proceeded at a slower pace and on a smaller scale. The 1996 merger of the missile-manufacturing divisions of British Aerospace and French company Matra created Matra BAe Dynamics, Europe's largest missile manufacturer with annual sales of $1.5 billion. But Europe still has too many prime contractors. Accordingly in December 1997 the leaders of France, Germany and the UK called on European aerospace and defence industries to produce a plan for restructuring by 31 March 1998, creating a single Airbus entity and a Euroco or Eurospace defence company. But as French Prime Minister Lionel Jospin's attempts to retain national defence companies and their jobs showed, there are major obstacles to such a plan. On the other hand, the Eurofighter 2000, was moving into its production phase.
Future developments are likely to include increased collaboration between US and European companies and more effective collaboration between major European aerospace and defence companies, going beyond that so far achieved and including the elimination of non-competitive units.

North American Editor Robin Ranger
Editor Joyce Quarrie
Associate editors John Bailey
Sally Chew
Publisher Geoff Farmer
East European Sergei A Mazalov
Far East Edwin Loh
Scandinavia Peter Borg
Design Ian Crawford
Printing Chandlers

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