| Chinese arms industry |
| military modernisation |
| By William M Carpenter, senior consultant at SRI International and David C Wiencek, president of the International Security Group. |
| China currently is in the early stages of a major military modernisation programme designed to position the country to be a dominant military power in Asia and eventually a super-power capable of challenging US and western interests on a global scale. This drive to modernise encompasses all aspects of the People's Liberation Army (PLA), the collective name for China's armed forces and includes strategy, tactics, procurement, training and organisation. Beijing's emphasis on building a stronger and more capable military presents serious long-term political-military challenges to the US and its friends and allies. It can be countered only through firm deterrence policies and strong defence capabilities aimed at maintaining a US strategic edge in the Asia-Pacific region and denying China the ability to exploit military or strategic opportunities in the years ahead. |
![]() |
Russian Sa-27 fighter. China has purchased 50 and may build 200 more, enhancing Beijing's airpower and power projection capabilities. |
Drive to modernise China's military has experienced considerable
advancements since the 1970s when it was designated as the last of the so-called four
modernisations (agriculture, industry, science and technology and the military) that were
to command the attention of the nation as it developed and opened up to the world. The PLA
remains the world's largest military. Defence spending is growing faster than any other
segment of China's budget and has risen every year since 1988. While the size of the
defence budget remains shrouded in secrecy, the US Department of Defense recently
estimated that China is spending about five per cent of GDP on defence and that total
military funding levels are expected to average over US$40 billion, in constant 1994
dollars, annually over the next ten years. |
![]() Recent acquisitions by China from Russia include four KILO class diesel submarines ![]() DF-3 (CSS-2) Intermediate-range ballistic missile launch: China is upgrading and expanding its missle arsenal |
Defence Industry In the early years, China's arms industry relied mainly on
assistance from the former Soviet Union. Following the split between the two communist
giants in the early 1960s, China slowly developed some self-sufficiency in arms
production, including the ability to copy and produce certain Soviet weapons systems.
Presently the trend is towards greater self- sufficiency, including such high-tech areas
as ballistic and cruise missiles as well as selected off-the-shelf purchases of modern
weapons systems and components from major producers such as Russia, Israel, France and the
UK. Given their self-sufficiency in certain areas, the Chinese increasingly are able to
export a range of systems, including offensive missiles. However, there is persistent
corruption in the system and a lack of control over weapons exports, and missiles and
other arms often are supplied to Iran and other rogue regimes. Evidence has begun to
emerge during the past few years that the PLA is involved in myriad business dealings that
include many non-military enterprises, and that this so-called PLA Inc phenomenon adds
billions of dollars to the military's coffers for weapons purchases, troop support,
pay-offs or other types of spending. |
| China continues to pursue domestic development or foreign acquisition of such crucial technologies as advanced imagery satellites, an airborne early-warning system, GPS technology for missile and aircraft guidance, improved command and control systems, unmanned aerial vehicles, improved mine warfare capabilities, ICBM technologies, including mobile launchers and MIRV technologies, and air defence/anti-ballistic missile systems. China also is deploying a new strategic ballistic missile submarine (SSBN), the Type 094, that will be launched early in the next decade, and has shown an intense interest in acquiring or building an aircraft carrier by 2010. |
![]() SA-10B theatre missile defence system: China continues to purchase advanced weapons from Russia and elsewhere. |
Assessment and projection The evidence is clear that the People's
Liberation Army Inc is a massive enterprise through out China and a significant factor in
the Chinese economy. For some time US and other foreign-intelligence organisations have
been trying to determine the exact size and description of the Chinese commercial arms
industry but no agreed answers to its full scope seem to exist. In 1995 the US Defense
Intelligence Agency (DIA) prepared a detailed chart of China's defence-industrial trading
organisations but even this shows only selected corporations or their products and
services. This peculiarly Chinese phenomenon appears so pervasive it is likely to continue
for some time. |
Short of a high-level policy
decision in China to terminate the PLA's commercial activities there would seem to be no
likelihood of its curtailment. A clue to the apparent protected status of PLA Inc is the
presence in high management positions of these companies of princelings of the ruling
elite, the children and relatives of senior Chinese communist officials. These company
heads have the important connections that will protect their operations from any effort to
terminate them. For example, China Poly Technologies that ranks as the fifty-ninth largest
export-import company in China, is headed by Wang Jun as chairman and He Ping as vice
chairman. Wang Jun is the eldest son of the late vice president Wang Zhen and He Ping is
the son-in-law of the late paramount leader Deng Xiaoping. It is easy to see why foreign
companies looking for entry into the Chinese economy see these protected PLA companies as
their best hope for long-term connections. |